More Self Service

Joe Sheehan from Baseball Prospectus wrote an article for SI which (in part) reviewed the Nady/Marte trade from a much more reasonable perspective.

BP has Marte's expected wins at 3.149 for 2008. Assuming he adds one more (which is generous) this year, and they pick up the option for 2009 at the same rate, that means he gives the Yankees approximately five wins between now and the end of his contract.

BP has Nady's WARP3 (which includes defense) at 8.8 wins for 2008, and assuming he adds one more, and keeps the same production in 2009 (which he won't, but whatever), that means he gives the Yankees approximately 11 wins between now and free agency.

That makes 16 wins (generously) before Nady and Marte hit the open market after next season, in exchange for a potential phenom in Tabata who is under at least six years of team control, and two to three major league or close to major league pitchers who will be in the organization until at least 2011.

Anyone care to speculate on the VORP involved there? I guarantee you it's greater than 16 wins between now and next September.