As of last night's game, according to FanGraphs Andrew McCutchen has been worth 2.3 WAR (wins above replacement level) in 293 plate appearances over his first two and a half months as a major league player at the tender age of 22. His current wOBA of .359 is best among rookies with at least 250 PA.
If we assume that over a full year that Cutch would get about 700 PA, which is pretty reasonable, that equates to 5.49 WAR over a full season. Raise that number to 750 PA, which is probably high end, but reachable for a leadoff hitter, and that number jumps to 5.89 WAR.
That range of 5.49 - 5.89 would easily put him in the Top 20 position players in the National League, right up there with guys like Jimmy Rollins (5.3 WAR in 2008), Brian McCann (5.8 WAR in 2008), and Jose Reyes (5.9 WAR in 2008). As a rookie.
I don't want to hype him up too much, too soon, but this is not Chad Hermansen, J.J. Davis, or Tike Redman. This guy might just very well be the real *bleeping* deal.
4 hours ago
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